Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.971759 3.297183 3.649081 4.058802 4.523886 5.036724 5.646820
2025-04-20 2.492518 2.928085 3.431987 4.061541 4.831868 5.749931 6.936108
2025-04-27 2.225308 2.727117 3.337693 4.142597 5.186596 6.509854 8.337965
2025-05-04 2.033841 2.578540 3.268898 4.219984 5.515009 7.244391 9.775856
2025-05-11 1.873987 2.444509 3.192928 4.263589 5.784081 7.909808 11.186421
2025-05-18 1.740139 2.326885 3.120137 4.293394 6.023524 8.544943 12.620647
2025-05-25 1.580464 2.157046 2.956276 4.171810 6.022241 8.816440 13.522846
2025-06-01 1.465918 2.039315 2.852982 4.123556 6.117418 9.233018 14.695821
2025-06-08 1.372308 1.943180 2.771111 4.096320 6.236458 9.691598 15.989210
2025-06-15 1.333233 1.923232 2.798770 4.237436 6.633269 10.640115 18.259684
2025-06-22 1.260086 1.845966 2.732186 4.220847 6.765242 11.150769 19.801899
2025-06-29 1.188424 1.765650 2.654203 4.177383 6.844324 11.572517 21.228522
2025-07-06 1.083873 1.628900 2.479990 3.963502 6.613352 11.422968 21.535961
2025-07-13 1.034734 1.577089 2.439060 3.972880 6.781513 12.031840 23.486955
2025-07-20 1.003596 1.551963 2.439502 4.053092 7.085699 12.934036 26.207594
2025-07-27 0.973963 1.527084 2.438032 4.128737 7.387412 13.865928 29.154912
2025-08-03 0.940753 1.493912 2.419699 4.171273 7.627940 14.700490 32.025238
2025-08-10 0.907783 1.458964 2.395584 4.200326 7.843340 15.506781 34.973958
2025-08-17 0.854004 1.385075 2.298017 4.081838 7.745651 15.619865 36.198089
2025-08-24 0.815172 1.335054 2.239931 4.034807 7.791375 16.056106 38.340318
2025-08-31 0.782063 1.293296 2.194191 4.008261 7.877518 16.594150 40.858754
2025-09-07 0.773988 1.295647 2.229373 4.145795 8.333275 18.058504 46.277219
2025-09-14 0.745625 1.259695 2.190758 4.129629 8.445070 18.705277 49.453034